Blog

Notes and essays on AI economics, geopolitics, and the infrastructure behind intelligence.

The UBI Dodge: Why the Tech Elite's Only Answer to AI Disruption Is an Insult to the Problem

March 14, 2026

There is a pattern in Silicon Valley that deserves more scrutiny than it gets. The same people building systems designed to eliminate human labor at scale will, when pressed on what happens to the displaced, offer exactly one answer. Universal basic income.…

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The AI Abundance Fracture: Why Geopolitics Will Determine Who Benefits and Who Breaks

March 14, 2026

The path to a potential age of abundance will not unfold evenly. It will fracture along existing geopolitical lines. Capitalist societies like the United States face the most severe disruption first. Without mechanisms to rapidly redistribute AI's…

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The Hybrid Intelligence Stack: Why the Future Runs on Both Centralized and Distributed AI

March 14, 2026

The architecture of artificial intelligence is at an inflection point. For years, centralized learning delivered extraordinary results by pooling vast datasets into monolithic training runs that compressed humanity's knowledge into models exceeding human…

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The Desert Test: Why AGI Needs Hands, Stakes, and Raw Sand

March 14, 2026

Current approaches to AGI are fundamentally limited because they separate intelligence from physical consequence. Language models process tokens. Game-playing systems optimize within rule sets. Even advanced robotics typically executes pre-defined tasks with…

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The Scarcity Stack: Where Real Wealth Lives When AI Makes Everything Cheap

March 14, 2026

AI plus robotics will not just disrupt labor markets. They will eliminate large categories of human work entirely. When autonomous factories, farms, and mines operate with almost no one in the loop, labor cost for both digital and physical goods collapses…

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